Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.585962 1.901754 2.257139 2.685669 3.187299 3.754777 4.444219
2026-02-01 1.071315 1.450253 1.924364 2.557020 3.374461 4.389877 5.740894
2026-02-08 0.805728 1.206204 1.752787 2.544303 3.650316 5.128175 7.236731
2026-02-15 0.635429 1.037838 1.629566 2.547799 3.917416 5.860659 8.795185
2026-02-22 0.506675 0.895391 1.506504 2.514721 4.106962 6.486453 10.258934
2026-03-01 0.392910 0.748518 1.344063 2.384531 4.116857 6.831737 11.330351
2026-03-08 0.323108 0.659134 1.254976 2.350708 4.262451 7.386171 12.765286
2026-03-15 0.271202 0.590026 1.186343 2.336203 4.430331 7.984391 14.321002
2026-03-22 0.248286 0.571340 1.204133 2.475038 4.875766 9.083042 16.806693
2026-03-29 0.221185 0.538137 1.187926 2.546056 5.204337 10.009635 19.082261
2026-04-05 0.201558 0.516651 1.190627 2.652194 5.607755 11.103666 21.747998
2026-04-12 0.174920 0.473536 1.141086 2.644885 5.789294 11.807450 23.768646
2026-04-19 0.144936 0.416465 1.053218 2.547630 5.786153 12.177256 25.231735
2026-04-26 0.119973 0.365959 0.970949 2.449442 5.767768 12.514773 26.666335
2026-05-03 0.104562 0.336818 0.933230 2.444794 5.945280 13.253913 28.946930
2026-05-10 0.091936 0.312278 0.902205 2.450523 6.144921 14.055043 31.419976
2026-05-17 0.079442 0.284900 0.858830 2.419324 6.256248 14.680755 33.587020
2026-05-24 0.065117 0.247908 0.782768 2.293875 6.131620 14.788329 34.678416
2026-05-31 0.056359 0.226426 0.745121 2.261294 6.223455 15.374894 36.838700
2026-06-07 0.049420 0.209165 0.716203 2.247314 6.358601 16.069499 39.291265
2026-06-14 0.047513 0.209447 0.739615 2.381336 6.882605 17.698535 43.948352
2026-06-21 0.043952 0.202608 0.739929 2.449900 7.245387 18.983286 47.927452
2026-06-28 0.041498 0.199424 0.751303 2.552380 7.709072 20.546118 52.662755